ACCOMPAGNEMENTS FORMATIFS POUR LES ÉQUIPES DU SECTEUR PUBLIC
Cost Per Notch Redux
What Every Girl Should Know
What Every Girl Should Know
Setting Boundaries With Your Partner
Managing Stress at the End of a Relationship
Valentine’s Day: A Date Which Will Live In Infamy
The Importance of Trust in a Family
Let Go of Your Past to Heat Up Your Present Relationship
The Hottest Kiss in the History of Earth
It’s a Fling Thing
Looking for Love This Summer?
Probability theory was begun centuries ago to specifically to understand decisions aka bets. The best decisions are made with full knowledge of all probabilities and risks of all outcomes, and the only rational choice is to hedge all your bets in accordance with your omniscience. Hence, there never are best decisions. Operations research was begun in the prior century to make the best of non-omniscience.
The most robust “historical” alternative to omniscient bet-hedging is the “best bet” maximum entropy method, most prominently promulgated by Ed Jaynes, whom I knew well but did not like (quite the amog jerk). The best “modern” decision techniques compare multiple outcomes with multiple rankings across multiple dimensions, and one of the hardest working practicioners is Igor Linkov.
702
FuzzieWuzzie says:
August 15, 2014 at 7:56 pm
Buena Vista,,
What you said at 695 should be polished a little and made an origianl post.
What you have described, I can’t see fixing.
Ouch!
703
A Definite Beta Guy says:
August 15, 2014 at 8:27 pm
So. Many. Comments. I was up at 2:30 AM today and can barely keep reading.
What Every Girl Should Know
What Every Girl Should Know
Setting Boundaries With Your Partner
Managing Stress at the End of a Relationship
Valentine’s Day: A Date Which Will Live In Infamy
The Importance of Trust in a Family
Let Go of Your Past to Heat Up Your Present Relationship
The Hottest Kiss in the History of Earth
It’s a Fling Thing
Looking for Love This Summer?
Probability theory was begun centuries ago to specifically to understand decisions aka bets. The best decisions are made with full knowledge of all probabilities and risks of all outcomes, and the only rational choice is to hedge all your bets in accordance with your omniscience. Hence, there never are best decisions. Operations research was begun in the prior century to make the best of non-omniscience.
The most robust “historical” alternative to omniscient bet-hedging is the “best bet” maximum entropy method, most prominently promulgated by Ed Jaynes, whom I knew well but did not like (quite the amog jerk). The best “modern” decision techniques compare multiple outcomes with multiple rankings across multiple dimensions, and one of the hardest working practicioners is Igor Linkov.
702
FuzzieWuzzie says:
August 15, 2014 at 7:56 pm
Buena Vista,,
What you said at 695 should be polished a little and made an origianl post.
What you have described, I can’t see fixing.
Ouch!
703
A Definite Beta Guy says:
August 15, 2014 at 8:27 pm
So. Many. Comments. I was up at 2:30 AM today and can barely keep reading.